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The cryptocurrency market is showing clear signs of a downturn after Bitcoin fell sharply from last year’s record highs, wiping out billions in market value and pushing the broader digital-asset sector into what industry executives describe as a bear-market phase.

Crypto analyst and creator of the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model PlanB, has discussed four possible outcomes for Bitcoin’s current bear market. The analysis follows a sharp drawdown of over 40% from Bitcoin’s all-time high of above $126,000.

Bitcoin weakness has returned to the center of market discussion as long-term analyst Benjamin Cowen outlines why the asset’s recent decline fits a familiar historical pattern. According to Cowen, Bitcoin’s price action reflects a transition into a bear market phase rather than a temporary pullback, with structural similarities to prior cycle downturns.

Bitcoin is trading near important support levels, with positive macro factors conflicting with bearish chart signals. This has split investors on whether Bitcoin is undervalued now or could fall further into 2026.

trades around $87,000 after losing its Bull Market Support Band, a technical level that has supported price action throughout the current cycle. The breakdown has created a $20,000 gap between current price and the support structure that previously contained corrections.

Bitcoin slipped to $96,800 as nearly every major asset class turned lower at the same time. Crypto is down, stocks are down, gold and silver have retreated and even the US dollar weakened. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has plunged to 22 (Fear), while the market cap of the entire crypto sector dropped to $3.28T, down 6.12% in 24 hours.